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Viewpoint · Semiconductors & ElectronicsGeopolitics & tradeNear term (1-3 years)

PCB production leaving China: where is capacity going?

This Viewpoint examines the shifting landscape of Printed Circuit Board (PCB) production as capacity moves away from China. It informs strategic decisions regarding supply chain resilience and investment in new manufacturing regions.

Why it matters now

Geopolitical shifts and the drive for supply chain diversification are compelling electronics manufacturers to re-evaluate their production footprints. Companies are seeking to mitigate risks associated with concentrated manufacturing, leading to a significant reallocation of capital and resources. This trend is reshaping global manufacturing strategies, influencing where future production capabilities will be established and how existing ones will be utilized. The need for proximity to end markets and enhanced security of supply are key drivers.

Who is exposed

PCB manufacturers face decisions on where to expand or relocate facilities, impacting capital expenditure and operational costs. Electronics assemblers must adapt their sourcing strategies to new geographical hubs, affecting lead times and logistics. Automotive electronics and industrial electronics sectors are particularly exposed due to their critical reliance on stable and secure component supply, potentially impacting production schedules and product delivery.

Most relevant for: Supply chain VP, procurement director, manufacturing head

What this Viewpoint covers

  • Which regions are emerging as key destinations for new PCB manufacturing capacity?
  • How are government incentives influencing the relocation of PCB production?
  • What types of PCB technology are being prioritized in new manufacturing hubs?
  • Which major players are announcing plans for new or expanded facilities outside China?
  • How are supply chain considerations driving the choice of new production locations?

Signals to watch

  • Announcements of new factory construction or expansion in specific regions.
  • Changes in trade policies or tariffs affecting electronics components.
  • Public statements from major electronics brands regarding supply chain diversification.
  • Increases in foreign direct investment into electronics manufacturing in emerging regions.

Decisions it supports

  • Supply chain diversification and risk mitigation strategies.
  • Investment decisions for new manufacturing facilities or partnerships.
  • Market entry strategies for new geographical regions.

How it is built

Prepared after your order from dated public sources - such as semiconductors & electronics filings and announcements, regulatory records, trials, patents and trade data, where relevant - and our market model. Reported facts are cited, estimates are labelled and our assessment is marked as such, following our research method. You receive our verdict, the evidence, who is exposed, the signals to watch and recommended actions, within 24 hours.

Questions

Why is PCB production moving out of China?

The relocation is driven by a combination of factors including geopolitical tensions, the desire for greater supply chain resilience, and the need to reduce reliance on single-country manufacturing. Companies are seeking to de-risk their operations and establish more geographically diverse production capabilities to ensure business continuity.

Which countries are benefiting from this shift?

Several countries in Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe are attracting new investments in PCB manufacturing. These regions offer various advantages such as skilled labor, government support, and proximity to key markets. The specific beneficiaries often depend on the type of PCB and the end-use industry.

How will this impact global PCB supply?

The shift is expected to lead to a more distributed global PCB supply chain over time. While the transition involves significant investment and time, it aims to create a more robust and resilient supply network, potentially reducing the impact of regional disruptions on global electronics production. It will reshape sourcing strategies.