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Viewpoint · AIDisruptionNear term (1-3 years)

Agentic commerce: will AI shopping agents bypass retailer websites?

This Viewpoint examines whether AI shopping agents will bypass traditional retailer websites. It helps businesses understand potential disruptions to existing e-commerce models and informs strategies for engaging with future consumer purchasing behaviors.

Why it matters now

The proliferation of advanced AI capabilities is transforming how consumers interact with products and services. Agentic commerce, where AI systems autonomously execute purchasing decisions on behalf of users, represents a significant evolution in this trend. These AI agents are designed to optimize for consumer preferences, price, and availability across a vast digital landscape. This shift poses a fundamental challenge to the established e-commerce ecosystem, where retailer websites have traditionally served as primary points of sale and brand engagement. Businesses must understand this emerging paradigm to adapt their digital strategies and maintain relevance in a rapidly changing retail environment.

Who is exposed

Retailers face potential reductions in direct website traffic, impacting their ability to control the customer journey, showcase their brand, and collect valuable first-party data. E-commerce platforms may see a shift in transaction volume away from their hosted sites. Brand manufacturers could experience reduced direct consumer engagement and increased reliance on AI agent algorithms for product discovery, potentially affecting brand loyalty and pricing power.

Most relevant for: Chief Marketing Officer, Head of E-commerce, Chief Strategy Officer

What this Viewpoint covers

  • How do current AI shopping agents identify and select products?
  • Which types of products are most susceptible to being purchased via agentic commerce?
  • What are the implications for retailer website traffic and conversion rates?
  • How can brands maintain visibility and influence in an agent-driven purchasing environment?
  • What are the emerging business models for platforms facilitating agentic commerce?

Signals to watch

  • Increases in third-party platform sales compared to direct website sales.
  • New partnerships between AI developers and e-commerce aggregators.
  • Changes in consumer search behavior, favoring direct product queries over brand names.
  • Development of new AI-powered shopping assistants by technology companies.

Decisions it supports

  • Developing strategies for product data optimization for AI agents.
  • Investing in marketplaces and platforms favored by agentic commerce.
  • Rethinking direct-to-consumer engagement models beyond traditional websites.

How it is built

Prepared after your order from dated public sources - such as retail filings and announcements, regulatory records, trials, patents and trade data, where relevant - and our market model. Reported facts are cited, estimates are labelled and our assessment is marked as such, following our research method. You receive our verdict, the evidence, who is exposed, the signals to watch and recommended actions, within 24 hours.

Questions

Will AI agents completely replace human shopping?

While AI agents can automate many purchasing tasks, they are more likely to augment human shopping by handling routine or complex comparisons. For high-consideration purchases or experiences requiring personal touch, human interaction will likely remain important. The shift will be gradual, with agents taking on increasing responsibility.

How can retailers prepare for agentic commerce?

Retailers should focus on optimizing product data for AI readability, ensuring competitive pricing and availability, and exploring partnerships with AI platforms. Building strong brand presence beyond direct websites and understanding how agents evaluate products will be crucial for maintaining relevance and capturing sales.

What are the privacy implications of AI shopping agents?

AI shopping agents collect and process extensive consumer data to make purchasing decisions. This raises important questions about data privacy, security, and how personal information is used and shared. Businesses and consumers will need to understand the data practices of these agents and the regulations governing them.