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Viewpoint · AIDisruptionNear term (1-3 years)

Will AI agents cut IT-services and BPO revenue by 2028?

This Viewpoint examines whether AI agents will reduce IT services and BPO revenue. It helps inform decisions on strategic adjustments for service providers.

Why it matters now

The rapid advancement and deployment of autonomous AI agents are transforming how routine and complex tasks are performed across industries. These agents promise significant efficiency gains, leading many organizations to reconsider their reliance on traditional human-led service models. This shift creates both opportunities and substantial challenges for companies providing IT and business process outsourcing services, necessitating a clear understanding of potential revenue impacts as clients adopt these new technologies.

Who is exposed

IT services and Business Process Outsourcing providers face direct exposure to revenue erosion as client demand for human-delivered services diminishes. Their existing service contracts and pricing models may become obsolete. Companies relying on these services could see cost reductions, while those providing the AI agent technology stand to gain market share. This impacts revenue streams, operational costs, and the need for workforce reskilling.

Most relevant for: Chief Information Officer, Head of Strategy, IT Procurement

What this Viewpoint covers

  • Which types of IT services are most susceptible to AI agent automation?
  • How will AI agent adoption impact BPO service demand?
  • What are the key drivers for enterprises to adopt AI agents over human services?
  • Which service functions are most likely to be fully automated by AI agents?
  • What are the potential strategic responses for incumbent service providers?

Signals to watch

  • Increased enterprise investment in AI agent platforms.
  • Decline in contract renewals for traditional BPO services.
  • Public announcements of major companies deploying AI agents for core functions.
  • Shifts in job postings within IT services and BPO towards AI-related roles.

Decisions it supports

  • Re-evaluate service portfolio and pricing strategies.
  • Plan workforce transformation and skill development initiatives.
  • Identify new growth areas in AI integration and management.
  • Assess competitive landscape and potential partnerships.

How it is built

Prepared after your order from dated public sources - such as it services filings and announcements, regulatory records, trials, patents and trade data, where relevant - and our market model. Reported facts are cited, estimates are labelled and our assessment is marked as such, following our research method. You receive our verdict, the evidence, who is exposed, the signals to watch and recommended actions, within 24 hours.

Questions

How quickly will AI agents become widespread in business operations?

The adoption rate of AI agents is accelerating as capabilities improve and integration becomes simpler. Businesses are increasingly exploring these technologies to enhance efficiency and reduce operational overhead, leading to a growing presence across various functions in the near future.

What kind of tasks are AI agents best suited to automate?

AI agents excel at automating repetitive, rule-based tasks that involve data processing, customer interactions, and routine decision-making. Their ability to learn and adapt also extends to more complex analytical and predictive functions, making them versatile tools for various business processes.

Will AI agents completely replace human workers in IT and BPO?

While AI agents will automate many tasks currently performed by humans, a complete replacement is unlikely. Instead, the landscape will likely shift towards a hybrid model where humans collaborate with AI, focusing on higher-value, strategic, and creative tasks that require uniquely human skills.