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Viewpoint · AIDisruptionNear term (1-3 years)

Co-packaged optics: will it disrupt pluggable transceiver makers?

This Viewpoint assesses the potential for co-packaged optics (CPO) to disrupt the market for traditional pluggable optical transceivers. It informs strategic decisions for optical component manufacturers, data center networking providers, and investors in the optical communications sector.

Why it matters now

As data rates in data centers continue to climb, the power consumption and signal integrity challenges of traditional pluggable transceivers are becoming significant bottlenecks. Co-packaged optics, which integrate optical engines directly with switching ASICs, promise substantial improvements in power efficiency, density, and latency. This technological shift poses a fundamental challenge to established pluggable transceiver manufacturers, necessitating a clear understanding of its disruptive potential and market adoption trajectory.

Who is exposed

Pluggable transceiver manufacturers face potential revenue decline and market share loss if CPO gains widespread adoption. Optical component suppliers may need to adapt their product portfolios to support CPO architectures. Data center networking equipment providers must evaluate CPO integration strategies for future product generations, impacting design cycles and supplier relationships. Chipmakers could see increased demand for CPO-enabled ASICs.

Most relevant for: Chief Technology Officer, Head of Product, Investor Relations

What this Viewpoint covers

  • What is the current state of co-packaged optics (CPO) technology development?
  • How does CPO impact power consumption and density compared to pluggable transceivers?
  • Which data center and networking architectures are most likely to adopt CPO first?
  • What are the key technical and economic challenges to CPO widespread adoption?
  • Which companies are leading in CPO development and commercialization?

Signals to watch

  • Announcements of CPO product roadmaps from major switch or ASIC vendors.
  • Industry consortiums publishing CPO interoperability standards.
  • Reports on power consumption benchmarks for next-generation data centers.
  • Venture capital investments in CPO-related startups.

Decisions it supports

  • Adjust product development roadmaps for optical transceiver portfolios.
  • Evaluate strategic partnerships or acquisitions in the CPO ecosystem.
  • Inform investment decisions in optical communications technologies.

How it is built

Prepared after your order from dated public sources - such as optical communications filings and announcements, regulatory records, trials, patents and trade data, where relevant - and our market model. Reported facts are cited, estimates are labelled and our assessment is marked as such, following our research method. You receive our verdict, the evidence, who is exposed, the signals to watch and recommended actions, within 24 hours.

Questions

What is co-packaged optics (CPO) and why is it disruptive?

Co-packaged optics integrates optical components directly onto the same substrate as high-bandwidth electrical chips, like network switches. This reduces power consumption, latency, and board space compared to traditional pluggable transceivers. It's disruptive because it fundamentally changes the interface between electrical and optical signals, potentially rendering current pluggable form factors less competitive for future high-speed applications.

Which types of companies are most affected by the rise of CPO?

Companies most affected include manufacturers of traditional pluggable optical transceivers, as their core products may face obsolescence. Optical component suppliers also need to adapt their offerings. Conversely, chipmakers and data center operators who can leverage CPO for more efficient and powerful networking stand to gain significant advantages in performance and operational cost savings.

How can this Viewpoint help my product strategy?

This Viewpoint provides a clear assessment of CPO's market readiness and adoption drivers. It helps you understand the timeline for potential disruption, allowing you to strategically adapt your product development, R&D investments, and market positioning. You can identify opportunities to integrate CPO technology or pivot your offerings to remain competitive in the evolving optical communications landscape.